The Genoa Group
Turning Evidence into Action
Research & Practice Resources
Does the type of group involved in violence affect the way we can prevent future group violence?
Exploring similarities in push pull factors among individuals involved in armed conflict and community based violent groups: A systematic review of the research
Campie, P., Lichtenfels, C.H. & Chaplin, K. (2025)
Aggression and Violent Behavior
Volume 86, January–February 2026, 102108
Abstract
This study reviewed evidence on push and pull factors motivating individuals to join, engage or support groups who commit violence in the community or against political or ideological opponents. Community violence is distinct from political violence in that the focus of violence is contained within smaller geographic areas (e.g., neighborhood, city) and committed largely against intimates and peers or in the furtherance of a criminal enterprise (e.g., drug sales). Whereas, political violence is typically dispersed across many different geographic areas, against enemy combatants and innocents in the way, in the furtherance of change in the dominant political or ideological power structures. While there are distinct difference between subgroups within these two broad typologies of group violence, everyday violence within the community could not be confused with armed conflict and is generally understood by researchers, policymakers, and the public to be distinct from each other (Ray, 2017). From a universe of 1872 articles identified for review, 129 studies underwent thematic analysis and research synthesis using meta-aggregation methods, as outlined by the Cochrane Collaboration. Results confirmed previous findings from the community-based violence literature that there are multiple pathways into violence – being bystanders to, victims of, or direct engagement in violence. This finding held true regardless of violent group type, finding that push and pull factors were largely the same for those involved in community-based violence or armed conflict directed towards political or ideological opponents. This finding points to using a comprehensive approach to prevent violent group affiliation by inserting prevention opportunities with populations at risk for violence at different points in their risk development pathway, as victims and bystanders.
Unpublished Research Paper
It Takes Time: Dosage and Duration of Outreach, Case Management, and Service Engagement on Reducing Violent Recidivism
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Patricia Campie, Trevor Fronius, Nicholas Read, Sarah Guckenburg, & Allyson Pakstis (2024)
The Safe and Successful Youth Initiative (SSYI) in Massachusetts was the nation's first state-wide community violence intervention (CVI) that prioritized those at greatest risk for committing gun or gang-related violence. In this article, our research team examined recidivism among SSYI participants as it relates to their length of time and amount of involvment in the program. The paper uses a desistance and identity development framework to explain results and argue for more CVIs extending the length of time and engagement opportunities for participants in their programs.
Research Brief
Applying Fragile States Theory to the United States: An Alternative Pathway to More Equitable Violence Prevention & System Reform?
By: Patricia E. Campie, Ph.D.
August 28, 2020
The Problem
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The effectiveness and legitimacy of human-serving systems in the United States has never been more in question than during 2020 when a global pandemic as well as the historic and persistent police killings of black men and women have resulted in millions of protesters demanding change. Schools are unable to teach, hospitals under equipped to treat, businesses shuttered, more people living on the street, and urgent calls to defund the police and remove political leaders at all levels of government. Although this is an unprecedented collection of institutional failures occurring at the same time, in the past the typical response to any one of these problems would usually ignore the root cause of these problems, instead placing focus (and thereby blame) on the benefactors, victims, or perpetrators affected by the system’s failure.
For example, if schools fail to engage students that require additional support and those students act out, skip class, or otherwise “tune out”, the typical response is to punish the student through school detention, suspension, or expulsion rather than understand the driving forces behind the student’s disengagement and behind the school’s inability to engage the student. Similarly, if homicides or gang violence erupt in communities steeped in decades of social and economic exclusion, the response is to over police the area and engage in racial profiling that further traumatizes residents, or ignore the community with an attitude of “nothing works” allowing the violence to continue.
The fragile states approach, developed for use in low and middle income countries, shifts the responsibility for action away from vulnerable persons variously labeled as perpetrators, victims, or bystanders of violence toward the social systems and government structures that often lie at the root of community-based violence. It also relies heavily on citizen voice to identify problems and formulate solutions and cuts across different types of groups, from individuals in rural communities marginalized by place to individuals marginalized or oppressed by gender, race, ethnic, financial, sexual orientation, religion and other status characteristics. The result from this type of approach when used in middle- and low-income countries can produce a broad consensus of doubts, fears, and ideas for change across many different groups living in dissimilar contexts (e.g., urban, rural) but under the same institutional controls (e.g., schools, policing), pointing to the systemic root of the problems and solutions for reform.
The benefit of this approach is that rather than isolating systemic problems to one group that might serve as a flashpoint for one issue at one point in time (e.g., COVID-19 patients v a broken healthcare system more generally, BLM, v a broken CJ system more generally) the problem is assessed from an institutional root cause perspective, reducing the likelihood of sides being taken for and against one particular group (e.g. BLM), stalling progress on needed reform.
What is a Fragile States Approach?
There are six institutional areas in a Fragile States assessment. For the purpose of an assessment in the United States, it may be prudent to combine the areas of courts and security into one construct of “criminal legal system”, meaning the 8 points of contact from police contact (up to arrest) through reentry from incarceration. Typically, the assessment is done using an in-person or phone-based cross-sectional survey tool supplemented with focus groups or interviews with representative segments of the study sample. USAID has a standard survey tool and protocol that can be adapted to study context. Baseline and endline assessments are typically separated by a 3-5 year period, depending on the nature of reforms or change in between periods.
1. Political
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Effectiveness: Well-functioning political institutions and processes that ensure accountability and timely allocation of resources to address citizen needs.
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Legitimacy: Political institutions and processes that are transparent, respect societal values, and do not favor particular groups.
2. Economic
Effectiveness: Economic institutions that provide for economic growth (including jobs), shield the economy from external shocks, and ensure adaptability to economic change.
Legitimacy: Equitable distribution of the benefits and costs of economic growth and change.
3. Security
Effectiveness: Provision of law enforcement services that secures borders and limits crime within communities.
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Legitimacy: Law enforcement services that are provided equitably and without violation of civil rights.
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4. Courts
Effectiveness: The independence of criminal and civil justice requires a set of detailed rules and procedures to ensure that a dispute will be treated in a neutral way, without biases in favor of any party.
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Legitimacy: When citizens perceive the court system as having the right or the authority to make decisions and when its decisions are viewed as worthy of respect or obedience.
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5. Educational
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Effectiveness: Public institution that sets high standards and expectations for all students; fosters collaboration and communication between and among students, teachers, and stakeholders; implements and sustains a curriculum that is inclusive and culturally relevant; monitors learning and teaching that is adjusted based on frequent monitoring of student progress and needs.
Legitimacy: Prioritizes responsiveness to students’ needs, defines the possibilities for learning, implements a sociocultural perspective on socialization that centers equity, access, and citizenship.
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6. Social
Effectiveness: Provision of civil and public protections and social services, in particular to meet the special needs of vulnerable and minority groups.
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Legitimacy: Prioritizes representation, diversity, and inclusion, especially for groups to practice customs, cultures, and beliefs
Additional Resources
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Milante, G., & Woolcock, M. (2017). New approaches to identifying state fragility. Journal of Globalization and Development, 8(1).
Naudé, W., Santos-Paulino, A. U., & McGillivray, M. (2011). Fragile states: An overview. Fragile states: Causes, costs, and responses, 1-29.
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Saeed, R. (2020). The ubiquity of state fragility: Fault lines in the categorisation and conceptualisation of failed and fragile states. Social & legal studies, 29(6), 767-789.
Government Report
Key Findings from the 2024 National Crime Victimization Survey (October 2025)
The Bureau of Justice Statistics recently released findings from the 2024 National Crime Victimization Survey. In good news, violent crime continues to see historic declines since the 1990s, with a brief spike in the Covid era. Unfortunately, crime victims still rarely seek help after a violent incident, despite the trauma and harm the've experienced. See the full report here.

